Monday, November 13, 2006

Breakfast at Crawford & all will be well!

IIPM MANAGEMENT INSTITUTE
Ahmadinejad has proven resourceful in driving the diplomatic conflict. His government has rejected international calls to halt uranium enrichment, ignored UN-imposed deadlines, armed Iraqi militias, supplied Hezbollah with weapons, denied the Holocaust & staged military exercises near the Strait of Hormuz, through which 40% of the world’s sea-traded oil passes. All this has helped inflate oil prices, enriching the Iranian government.

When Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei hinted that Iran could play the oil card, US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice dismissed the idea. “Let’s just remember that Iran is some 80% dependent on oil in its budget,” she said, so it is “not really able to live with a disruption.” But if Iran pulls modest amounts of its oil from international markets, price increases are likely to off set (perhaps completely) any loss in revenue from the supply cut. In addition, threats to the Strait of Hormuz would allow Iran to force prices up without any reduction in output.

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Source : IIPM Editorial, 2006

An IIPM and Management Guru Professor Arindam Chaudhuri's Initiative

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