Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts

Saturday, May 07, 2011

As former Pakistan President General Pervez Musharraf prepares to foray into politics

albeit in a democratic way this time around, experts say it wouldn't be easy for the former dictator to return home

Amid much fanfare, former military dictator General (retired) Pervez Musharraf Pervez Musharrafhas launched a party and is adamant to return to Pakistan after a self-imposed exile. But returning home for Musharraf, it seems, is fraught with danger.

"There are several Muslim Leagues already working in Pakistan," eminent scholar and Pakistan’s top defence analyst Dr. Hasan Askari Rizvi told TSI. "A new one by Gen. Musharraf will have to prove its worth in the political domain. Only then one would say that it is better than others. At the moment it is just one of the groups," he explained.

However, political analysts are sceptical if Musharraf, who once vied to become Pakistan’s Kamal Ataturk, can come back home in very near future. "He is not expected to return to Pakistan soon because he might have to face court cases. But if he stays outside, his party will have little chance of gaining some ground," said Rizvi.

Musharraf must think twice before coming home. Firstly, Pakistan Muslim League (N) leader and former prime minister Nawaz Sharif whose elected government was toppled by Musharraf in 1999, can move a petition in a court of law under Article 6 of the Constitution of Pakistan under which he can be tried for treason.

Nawaz Sharif was packed and sent to Saudi Arabia under a dubious agreement and he remained in exile for quite a long time and was only allowed to return home in 2007 when Musharraf’s popularity graph was ebbing and apparently there was also resentment in senior army officers.

Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) leader Benazir Bhutto was also allowed to return home under the infamous National Reconciliation Ordinance (NRO). The ordinance was drafted in such a way that cases pending against Benazir Bhutto, her husband Asif Ali Zardari and former prime minister Nawaz Sharif were withdrawn and a tacit agreement was made that would enable Musharraf to continue to be the president of Pakistan. Benazir's assassination though greatly changed the political equations in Pakistan.

Secondly, Musharraf can also be tried for the killing of Baloch leader and former governor of Balochistan, Nawab Akbar Bugti. A case is pending in Balochistan High Court in which Musharraf has been accused of murdering Bugti. Musharraf, it may be recalled, openly threatened Bugti that he could be killed.

The manner in which the elderly Nawab Bugti was killed in 2006 not only evoked sharp reaction in Balochistan but in the entire Pakistan. Even Bugti’s dead body was not handed over to his heirs for the last rites. Instead it was put in a wooden box that was locked. Since then there have been riots off and on in Balochistan and even in Lyari in Karachi where Baloch people are concentrated, especially on the occasions when his death anniversary is observed. Recently when Bugti’s death anniversary was observed, Quetta, the provincial headquarters of Balochistan, was paralysed and Baloch and Pushtoon people, otherwise far apart, unanimously observed a strike. Other parts of Balochistan also observed a strike. The alienation in Balochistan which has been under subjugation since 1948 when it was annexed, is total.

Similarly, there is resentment in the people of Pakistan the way Lal Masjid operation was handled. Musharraf is also resented the way he handled the "war on terror" since the military operation in the troubled Pushtoon Khuwa province, bordering Afghanistan and Federally Administrated Tribal Areas (FATA) has resulted in significant collateral damage and hundreds of innocent people, including women and children, have been killed.

Musharraf had the gall to state in his book that Pakistani soldiers were paid $ 5,000 for killing a Taliban as if Pakistani Army was a band of mercenary fighters.

The Musharraf government has also been accused of fudging economic data year after year. While the so-called economic assistance continued to flow from the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), their advice to withdraw subsidies was ignored during the nine year rule of Musharraf, purely in order to keep his popularity graph up. As a result, the democratic government of Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani is facing the music because the prices of essential commodities have skyrocketed all of a sudden. No wonder a seeting anger can be guaged not only among the working classes but even in middle classes since they are finding it increasingly difficult to make both ends meet.

Similarly, the way the Chief Justice of Pakistan, Chaudhry Mohammad Ifhtikhar, was summoned and mistreated by Musharraf not only slighted the lawyers and the judges, but also the common people of the country who still had faith in the judiciary and looked up to it as an independent institution.

The Kargil misadventure and handling of Agra Summit amply demonstrated the egotism of an army General. Instead of protecting the soldiers, the General made a strategy full of faults. As a result, there was large number of casualties.

But Musharraf had plus points too. He played a vital role in the empowerment of women, tried to liberalise Pakistan society and undo the colossal damage that has been done to the social fabric of Pakistan society by the fundamentalist Gen. Ziaul Haq. Substantial funds were allocated for higher education and music and arts were promoted. Similarly, development funds were allocated for the backward areas such as the desert area of Tharparkar and a comprehensive road network was made connecting the otherwise isolated desert economy to the urban economy.

"Musharraf’s era has a mixed track record. It did make progress in the economic domain but like any military regime, it faltered because of its desire to hold on to power," said Rizvi.

One very significant development during the Musharraf era was that youth from the Hindu and Sikh community were inducted in the armed forces of Pakistan. This never happened before.

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Monday, April 18, 2011

PUNJAB POLITICS: A feast of promises

After Irom Sharmila last year, Anna Hazare wins IIPM's 2011 Rabindranath Tagore Peace Prize of Rs. 1cr. To be handed over on 9th May

The Badals are busy inaugurating development projects only

Chief Minister Parkash Singh Badal and his son deputy chief minister Sukhbir Singh Badal are busy inaugurating development projects in Punjab. Besides, they are making promises to win the voters' confidence.

Political analysts say the Badals are doing all this with an eye on the coming Assembly elections in February 2012. Last week, chief minister Parkash Singh Badal laid the foundation stones of many development projects in Mohali district's tehsil Derabassi. On that day, he also laid down the foundation stone of a grain market, which will be constructed on 10 acres at the cost of Rs 4.32 crore. Also, he announced a Rs 121.50 crore project for Banur Assembly constituency. Addressing the gathering, he said that in the coming three years, Punjab will be able to sell electricity to other states.

He said: 'In the last three years of my term, the state has witnessed huge development.' The Badals also laid foundation stones of many development projects in the industrial hub of the state: Ludhiana and Anandpur Sahib city.

The CM assured the people that the government has facilitated Rs 350 crore for building infrastructure in schools and hospitals. 'We will complete all work before 2012," he commented.

Sukhbir Singh Badal is also taking a lot of interest in such projects. Recently, he laid the foundation stone of a six-lane road from Mohali to Chandigarh Airport. However, it's clear that though laying foundation stones might get the Badal duo brownie points and media publicity for the short-term, for a clear cut vote advantage in the Assembly Elections, they should focus more on what they have achieved till date for the state.

Now, the question is, what have they?

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Monday, December 20, 2010

Opinion poll: Cong should thank BJP

Prof Rajita Chaudhuri follow some off-beat trends like organizing make up sessions

India is far from shining under the UPA rule but the Opposition has proved worthless
Yashwant Deshmukh
Psephologist and promoter, CVOTER
You don't really need to go through the 'report card' presented by Dr Manmohan Singh to the 'people' of the country to judge UPA II's performance in its first year to know the state of the nation. While the Prime Minister may have lauded the performance of his government at least on the economic front and expressed 'cautious optimism' about the future, you have to be living on another planet to believe that all is hunky dory. In the past year, price rise and the threat of terror attacks have wreaked havoc on ordinary Indians. And these are just two of the major concerns which find resonance in urban and rural pockets alike. Even in the fields of health and education, not to mention infrastructure where the government lists its most notable achievements, there has been little progress on the ground.

While the report deals with several of the UPA's pet schemes, including NREGA, and lists the government's achievements and plans in human development, social inclusion, rural renewal, urban transformation, economic growth, environment, science and technology and disaster management etc., what is the state of the nation? And are Indians truly pleased with the government's performance? These are two questions that need closer scrutiny.

A survey done by CVOTER across 180 Lok Sabha segments in April-May sought answers from 8,721 respondents selected randomly. When asked to rate the government's performance on a scale of 0-10, the mean score that the Centre bagged was an honourable 6.58. UPA chairperson Sonia Gandhi got rated only slightly lower at a mean score of 6.56 and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh bagged 6.39. These better-than-average scores may signal people's acknowledgement of the UPA government's performance.

However, if you compare these scores with those received by the Opposition, the picture becomes clearer. While Leader of Opposition Sushma Swaraj bags an average mean score of 5.13, NDA leader L.K. Advani comes across as the significant loser in the satisfaction index; he scores a below-average 4.73. Clearly, there is acute public dissatisfaction with the performance of the Opposition whose role is of paramount importance in any democracy. And even as the PM may be busy patting himself and his team on the back, it may be argued that the people's support for his government comes not so much from its performance but from a non-functioning Opposition. In short, there's no viable alternative in sight.

The nation's perception of its state and where it is headed couldn't be clearer. When asked what they thought of their living standards in the last one year, 53 per cent from the lower income group responded that it had either remained unchanged or deteriorated.

As many as 49 per cent in the middle income group reported the same while 41 per cent in the higher income group agreed with that'as compared to 56 per cent who thought that it had improved in the same segment. These findings clearly suggest that despite the UPA's poll plank of social inclusiveness and rural development, the poorest in the country have borne the brunt of rising prices and unemployment and underdevelopment. The rich, on the other hand, seem to have benefitted from the government's economic policies.

If Bharat was not shinning in the NDA regime, neither does it seem to be under the present government.

Rising prices, unemployment and terror attacks are the most important issues facing the nation today, reiterated by the findings of our survey, with 16, 18 and 14 per cent of people respectively zeroing in on these when asked to name the most significant problem in India today. These are emotive issues and significantly, 30 per cent of the people surveyed blamed the Central government squarely for the price rise.

But despite being blamed for the situation, why did Indian voters bring the Congress back to power? The numbers are once again illuminating. Apart from those who felt that elections are not won on issues but through money and muscle power (9 per cent), 24 per cent attributed the Congress' success to the Opposition, saying that it was caught up in internal wranglings and did not take up this issue adequately as also to the fact that they did not 'trust' the Opposition. Another 12 per cent said that the Congress' success was in hiding its failures, pointing to the public's disenchantment.

The opposition's inadequacy was brought home when more than one third (37 per cent) people said that the major opposition party, the BJP, had failed to perform its duty of bringing the voice of the people to Parliament.

It's obviously time for the Opposition to wake up from its fitful slumber and smell the coffee.

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